Federal Network Agency Scenario Framework 2045

There can be dramatic differences between available power and electricity demand. How can such nonsense end up in an official government document?

The topic for today should have been "Network expansion costs in Germany". The first question to Google produced a lot of different amounts. Then I discovered a PDF on Netzausbau.de, the official website of the Federal Network Agency:


Bedarfsermittlung 2023-2037/2045
Approval of the
Scenario framework 2023-2037/2045
July 2022

It is therefore an official document of the current traffic light government. Let's go to page 4. Gas-fired power plants are to be expanded from 32.1 GW in 2021 to 34.6 GW in scenario C 2045. Nuclear power, oil, hard coal and lignite-fired power plants are reduced from 46.7 GW in 2021 to 0 GW. Electricity demand will increase from 533 TWh to 1303 TWh. These gas-fired power plants are the only energy producers that can be controlled over time. Batteries are also available in an absolutely minimalist form.

In scenario C 2045, there are 37.3 million electric cars and 16.3 million heat pumps. Which heat pumps are expected? The answer can be found on page 24. HH stands for household, GHD stands for trade, crafts and services. 5,254 kWh annual consumption in the household, 7,284 kWh in the tertiary sector are expected per heat pump. It must therefore be assumed that these heat pumps will draw an average of 6 kW when it gets really cold. This is still an optimistic assumption, as air source heat pumps degenerate into electric heating when it is cold.

  Dark doldrums and cold snap

It's going to be a really cold night, the 16.3 million heat pumps alone want 97.8 GW. The sun is currently shining on the other half of the planet and wind energy is at 1% of installed capacity. 250 GW of wind power plants only supply 2.5 GW. Even if the minimalist 180 GWh of batteries were charged now, they would have to be divided up over 16 hours of winter night.

So 97.8 GW only for heat pumps, not a single electric car is charged, not a single train or streetcar runs, no light, no industry and 34.6 GW of gas-fired power plants and 2.5 GW of wind power as generation capacity.

You search this PDF for "electricity import" and find nothing. Under "Import" on page 18: Quote:

This goes hand in hand with the need for greater expansion of renewable energies. In addition, there will probably be a need to import electricity on balance.

Wow, what an understatement. Heat pumps alone would require over 60 GW more electricity than gas-fired power plants and wind energy supply. Where would the spot market prices be if Germany had to import 60 GW for heat pumps alone? About where they were in Texas on February 15, 2021, around €8 per kWh?

  Stupidity or destructive rage?

What is behind this work of art? Stupidity, the math skills of a 12-year-old schoolboy? Or the destructive rage against a hated society? What are the means of pressure that so many followers do not dare to contradict?

  The march through the institutions

The archive of the Federal Network Agency also contains Szenariorahmen_2035_Genehmigung.pdf.

The reference for 2019 is 30 GW gas-fired power plants. Scenario C 2035 envisages 46.7 GW of gas-fired power plants. Nuclear power, oil, hard coal and lignite-fired power plants are reduced from 56 GW in 2019 to 1.3 GW.

Electricity demand will increase from 571 TWh to 687 TWh. Batteries are also still available in homeopathic doses. In scenario C 2035, there are 15.1 million electric cars and 7 million heat pumps. Even just 7 million heat pumps would require 42 GW of electricity during a cold spell. The rest of Germany would then have to be switched off in a cold dark doldrums. From 2005 to 2021, Germany allegedly had a coalition government led by the CDU/CSU. Who is the Federal Network Agency? Quote:

The Federal Network Agency for Electricity, Gas, Telecommunications, Post and Railway, based in Bonn, is a higher German federal authority within the portfolio of the Federal Ministry of Economics.

The nonsensical 2021 scenario framework was only further developed into the completely nonsensical 2023 scenario framework. It must therefore be assumed that The march through the institutions was successful, the destructive rage of fanatics against our society.

  Our 2045 scenario

80% of the 1 million hectare "Land for Energy" program has been implemented. This includes 800 GW of photovoltaics and 2400 GWh of batteries alone. A further 300 GW of photovoltaics and 900 GWh of batteries outside the "Land for Energy" areas. Wind power is only being expanded slightly. 150 GW power to methane plants make it possible to utilize summer surplus electricity. 80 GW CCGT power plants.

There is only a cold dark doldrums at night. When it is very cold, it is sunny during the day. GEMINI next generation houses have very low self-consumption in cold weather thanks to the low-temperature heat storage system. 80 GW CCGT power plants and 1100 GW photovoltaics make it possible to charge the batteries during the day. A secure power supply even in extreme weather conditions.

Why are the scenarios so different? The difference is whether you love or hate people.

  Optimism in a time of collapse

What prospects for the future can children of today be given? The majority of society only mentions extremely negative images of the future. Even when it comes to housing, a central need for everyone. The search query "housing in Germany" only brings up disaster reports in the search results. The problems can no longer be solved using conventional methods. Completely new approaches are needed.

If you support these completely new ways of thinking by buying shares, then in a few years' time you will not only be able to say "I contributed to this", but you will probably also be able to look back on a considerable increase in the value of these shares.

  Become a shareholder of GEMINI next Generation AG

A club member donates their membership fee to the club and is happy if the club is successful. If not, I have supported a good cause.

A shareholder acquires shares in a public limited company. If the AG is successful, his shares are worth much more. In the case of GEMINI next Generation AG, his reward for supporting a good cause.

As a shareholder, employee or home buyer, you also become part of the counter-movement against many negative, anti-survival developments in our society.

One new shareholder said "I with my very modest investment", but €4,000 times €1,000 is also €4 million for all investments up to the opening of the settlement in Unken as a starting point for global expansion.

Only the Annual General Meeting can decide on major capital increases, but here is what the Management Board and Supervisory Board can decide. The new share capital serves to perfect the documents for the larger planned capital increases.

There is a reward program for recommending the share to others. Two of the new shareholders have become shareholders through this reward program.

Here are the details.

Attention! A major promotion is planned for mid-February, during which the shares will be offered at a significantly higher price. Buy in good time before the price correction!
          Federal Network Agency Scenario Framework 2045: There can be dramatic differences between available power and electricity demand. How can such nonsense end up in an official government document? https://2024.pege.org/02-04/